StatSheet Projects Maryland as NIT Bubble Team: 03/05/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on March 5th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet projects Maryland to go to the NIT as a six seed, provided they maintain a winning record. The Terrapins are #112 in the StatSheet StatRank, and their NIT bid will hang on their 16-14 overall record and 6-10 record in the ACC.

During the last four games, Maryland picked up a quality win against RPI #49 Miami (FL) but also suffered losses to AP #24 Virginia and AP #6 North Carolina and a bad loss to RPI #183 Georgia Tech.

Maryland is not that good against top competition, with a 3-13 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 2-11 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 1-8 record against AP ranked teams. While the Terrapins have two quality wins including RPI #49 Miami (FL) and AP #20 Notre Dame, they're also hampered by a bad loss to RPI #183 Georgia Tech.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Seton Hall (19-11, 8-10 Big East, StatRank #60), NC State (20-11, 9-7 ACC, StatRank #52), Oregon (22-8, 13-5 Pac 12, StatRank #53), and Texas (19-12, 9-9 Big 12, StatRank #55).

The first four teams out are Brigham Young (25-8, 12-4 West Coast, StatRank #48), Cincinnati (22-9, 12-6 Big East, StatRank #68), Mississippi State (21-10, 8-8 SEC, StatRank #76), and Tennessee (18-13, 10-6 SEC, StatRank #89).

The next four out are Colorado (19-11, 11-7 Pac 12, StatRank #80), Illinois (17-14, 6-12 Big Ten, StatRank #76), St. Joseph's (PA) (19-12, 9-7 A-10, StatRank #50), and Xavier (19-11, 10-6 A-10, StatRank #54).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Baylor
#3Georgetown
#4Florida
#5Florida State
#6Memphis
#7Colorado State
#8Alabama
#9California
#10Northwestern
#11Miami (FL)
#12NC State
#13Harvard
#14Akron
#15Belmont
#16Bucknell
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Kansas
#2Marquette
#3Michigan
#4Indiana
#5Murray State
#6Southern Miss
#7Gonzaga
#8Connecticut
#9Creighton
#10Saint Louis
#11Ole Miss
#12Oregon
#13Long Beach State
#14Drexel
#15Davidson
#16Long Island
#17UNCA
Regional 3
#1Kentucky
#2Michigan State
#3Missouri
#4Louisville
#5UNLV
#6Vanderbilt
#7Iowa State
#8San Diego State
#9Kansas State
#10South Florida
#11New Mexico
#12Texas
#13Oral Roberts
#14Iona
#15MTSU
#16Montana
#17Savannah State
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Ohio State
#4Wisconsin
#5Notre Dame
#6Wichita State
#7Virginia
#8Temple
#9Purdue
#10West Virginia
#11Saint Mary's
#12Washington
#13Seton Hall
#14Nevada
#15Valparaiso
#16Texas-Arlington
#17Stony Brook

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East9 1656.2%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
ACC6 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC5 1241.7%
Mountain West4 850.0%
Pac 123 1225.0%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
A-102 1414.3%
C-USA2 1216.7%
West Coast2 922.2%
Southland1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Horizon1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Big Sky1 911.1%
Summit League1 1010.0%
CAA1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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Season Preview: Maryland is unlikely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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ACC Standings

OverallConf
1 Virginia 30-7 16-2
2 Syracuse 28-6 14-4
3 Duke 26-9 13-5
3 North Carolina 24-10 13-5
5 Pittsburgh 26-10 11-7
6 Clemson 23-13 10-8
7 Florida State 22-14 9-9
7 NC State 22-14 9-9
 7Maryland 17-15 9-9
10 Miami (FL) 17-16 7-11
11 Wake Forest 17-16 6-12
11 Georgia Tech 16-17 6-12
11 Notre Dame 15-17 6-12
14 Boston College 8-24 4-14
15 Virginia Tech 9-22 2-16
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#4 Seth Allen So G 6-1 190
#23 John Auslander Sr F 6-7 220
#15 Spencer Barks Jr F 6-9 225
#44 S. Cleare So C 6-9 265
#35 Damonte Dodd Fr F 6-9 240
#5 Nick Faust So G 6-6 175
#25 Jonathan Graham Jr F 6-8 220
#10 Jake Layman So G/F 6-8 205
#12 Conner Lipinski So G 5-10 155
#33 A.J. Metz Fr F 6-5 185
#0 C. Mitchell Fr F 6-8 260
#2 Roddy Peters Fr G 6-3 195
#11 Varum Ram Jr G 5-9 150
#1 Evan Smotrycz Jr F 6-8 230
#24 Jacob Susskind Jr G 6-5 190
#32 Dezmine Wells Jr G/F 6-5 215